Saturday, May 28, 2011

Premature Box Score Prediction: BYU at Ole Miss

In order to fill up some space in this blog during the summer, I thought I would throw out some predictions for the upcoming football season, and I definitely welcome your predictions - negative or positive. This prediction is for the opening game in Oxford, Miss., on September 3.

BYU 42, Ole Miss 20

Heaps: 24-34, 318 yards, 3 TDs

Quezada: 18 carries, 109 yards, 1 TD
Di Luigi: 11 carries, 58 yards
Kariya: 8 carries, 30 yards, 2 TDs

Apo: 6 catches, 125 yards, 1 TD
Jacobson: 6 catches, 53 yards
Hoffman: 5 catches , 82 yards, 1 TD
Mahina: 2 catches, 19 yards
Di Luigi: 2 catches, 18 yards
Kariya: 2 catches, 8 yards, 1 TD
Quezada 1 catch, 13 yards

Rushing yards allowed: 103 yards
Passing yards allowed: 181 yards
INTs: 1
Fumbles Forced/Recovered: 3/2

I think this game would definitely be different if it was played three or four weeks later, but for now, Ole Miss has a heck of a lot more unanswered questions than BYU. For example, the Rebels still haven't selected a starting QB yet, and it's between three possible QBs. With a new offensive coordinator, the last thing Ole Miss needs is a guy under center that didn't have the majority of the reps in fall camp. But that's what they are going to get unless they pick a started EARLY in fall camp. They'll have to rely on RBs, and BYU's rushing defense is one thing I am not worried about.

Also, Ole Miss' defense is what caused its 4-8 2010 record, and it only returns 4 starters. Two starters are lost from the secondary, and it was bad last year. This is why I had so much optimism in putting together BYU's offensive predictions. This seems like a pretty good opportunity for BYU to showcase its new offense.

BYU and Ole Miss both had bad 2010 seasons, but BYU finished 2010 playing its best football. That can't be said about Ole Miss, and I have serious doubts about Ole Miss' ability to make vast improvements by Week One.

Feel free to leave a comment with your own prediction(s).


  1. I like this - alot. Couple of thoughts to add.

    I think you're giving their offense too much credit. Think about how the Cougar defense came out and bullied Oklahoma in an opening weekend away game. And that was before Bronco took the DC reins back. Also, with an untested QB the Rebel's strength is supposed to be pounding with their big backs, so if they DO roll-up close to 300 yards of offense, I think it will be mostly on the ground.

    All-in-all, I think you have been very generous to Ole Miss with the yardage and points you are forecasting for them.

    Two BYU notes - from STs. I think Sorenson marks his return to the field with a couple of FGs - maybe even a long one. And I think Drew Phillips has a huge day on KRs in his BYU debut. He will be playing in front of family and friends and will be amped-up like crazy. I see him having several long returns and maybe even housing one.

    Good stuff. Will look forward to the Texas box score.

  2. Yeah, the reason I gave them more through the air was because I thought, with a relatively inexperience secondary, BYU might give up a long TD like we tend to do from time to time.

    Your Drew Phillips prediction is a good one. He had slipped my mind. Gosh, we're stacked with potential playmakers this year! I might have to revisit these each during the week of their respective game.

    Thanks for your input!